Oct 7, 2008 4:57 pm US/Pacific
Retirement Accounts Have Lost $2 Trillion So Far
WASHINGTON (AP) ―
Americans' retirement plans have lost as much as $2 trillion in the
past 15 months about 20 percent of their value Congress' top budget
analyst estimated Tuesday as lawmakers began investigating how turmoil
in the financial industry is whittling away workers' nest eggs.
The upheaval that has engulfed financial firms and sent the stock
market plummeting is also devastating people's savings, forcing
families to hold off on major purchases and even delay retirement,
Peter Orszag, the head of the Congressional Budget Office, told the
House Education and Labor Committee.
As Congress investigates the causes and effects of the meltdown, the
panel pressed economists and other analysts on how the housing, credit
and other financial troubles have battered pensions and other
retirement funds, which are among the most common forms of savings in
the United States.
"Unlike Wall Street executives, America's families don't have a
golden parachute to fall back on," said Rep. George Miller, D-Calif.,
the panel chairman. "It's clear that their retirement security may be
one of the greatest casualties of this financial crisis."
More than half the people surveyed in an Associated Press-GfK poll
taken Sept. 27-30 said they worry they will have to work longer because
the value of their retirement savings has declined.
Orszag indicated the fear is well-founded. Public and private
pension funds and employees' private retirement savings accounts like
401(k)'s lost about 10 percent between the middle of 2007 and the
middle of this year, and lost another 10 percent just in the past three
months, he estimated.
Private retirement plans may have suffered slightly more because
those holdings are more heavily skewed toward stocks, Orszag added.
"Some people will delay their retirement. In particular, those on
the verge of retirement may decide they can no longer afford to retire
and will continue working," Orszag said.
A new AARP study found that because of the economic downturn, one in
five workers 45 and older has stopped putting money into a 401(k), IRA
or other retirement savings account during the past year, and nearly
one in four has increased the number of hours he works. More than
one-third of these workers have considered delaying retirement,
according to the study, which also found that more than half now find
it difficult to pay for basic items such as food, gas and medicine.
The hearing came just as workers are receiving or about to receive
their quarterly retirement savings account statements, which are
likely to show disheartening drops in the value of holdings.
Jerry Bramlett, the head of BenefitStreet Inc., a retirement savings
plan administration company, said there's a risk that people will
overreact to the bad news by pulling their money out of the accounts,
which could add to their potential losses.
"For participants with many years of retirement, a drastic
abandonment of equity positions in their retirement account will only
serve to lock in as-of-yet-unrealized losses. Markets do go up and
down, and 401(k) participants must try to think long-term," Bramlett
said.
Still, he said workers should do their best to diversify their
retirement savings accounts and "perhaps consider less volatile
investments."
On the heels of enacting a $700 billion market bailout, lawmakers
are searching for ways to help workers who are feeling the ripple
effects of the financial crisis.
"What should we be doing to try to find a way to salvage the
retirement position of American workers?" said Rep. Dennis Kucinich,
D-Ohio, an opponent of the government rescue plan. Congress, he added,
"rushed to protect Wall Street in hopes that some benefits would
trickle down to workers."
The massive losses have already reopened a bitter and long-running
debate about what role if any the government should play in helping
workers save for retirement.
Some experts argue that the hefty tax subsidies that Congress has
put in place in recent decades for 401(k) and other worker-contribution
accounts have made people's retirement income less secure by shifting
risks, decisions and costs from employers to people who often know
little about investing.
"They are fatally flawed," Teresa Ghilarducci, an economist at the
New School for Social Research, said of the tax-advantaged plans.
"They're too risky, and it's not good policy to have workers run their
own retirement plan. They want government help."
Common mistakes workers make include overinvesting in a single
stock often their company's and participating in funds that carry
large fees or involve excessive risk, the witnesses said.
"You cannot tell the participants at the bottom of your fund
prospectus, 'Warning: Your psychology may lead you to make irrational
choices,'" said Christian E. Weller of the University of Massachusetts
Boston.
The current market turmoil adds to an already difficult
retirement savings picture for Americans, who are increasingly
shouldering the burden of managing and funding their own
company-sponsored retirement savings plans as firms eliminate
traditional pensions.
Even before the recent downturn, older Americans were on track
to continue working longer. Twenty-nine percent of people in their late
60s were working in 2006, up from 18 percent in 1985, according to the
Bureau of Labor Statistics. Over the next decade, the number of workers
who are 55 and older is expected to increase at more than five times
the rate of the overall work force, the BLS reported.
Falling home values and now the decimation of much of their
savings could plunge older Americans into period of austerity not seen
in decades, Miller said: "The fear factor is huge, and they don't see
the availability of resources to them to get well."
Orszag said the situation has little precedent in American history.
"The period that we're experiencing is arguably the greatest
collapse in confidence that we've experienced since the Great
Depression," he said.
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